Sunday, January 08, 2006

Wanted: Republican Candidates in KINGS Assembly Districts - Vol. 4

Brooklyn is the strangest borough, because it has some Assembly Districts with a close 2-1 voter ratio to some districts as wide as a 15-1 voter ratio. Republicans really need to target some of these districts, because winning is certainly a possibility.

Brooklyn is not devoid of elected Republicans. Martin Golden is a State Senator and elected leader for the borough. If you know which district you live in, you can check out who your local leaders are by going to the Kings Republican County Committee page.

The following Assembly Districts are ones with good odds for a competitive race.
BROOKLYN
District 44
Assemblyman James F. Brennan
Park Slope, Prospect Park, Windsor Terrace, Kennigston and Flatbush. The registered voter ratio is 5.5 Democrats to 1 Republican. May not be a winner, but can be competitive and can help build the two republican clubs representing the district.

District 45
Assemblyman Steven Cymbrowitz
Midwood, Sheepshead Bay and Manhattan Beach. Sadly, the voter totals for registered Democrats was unattainable, however, there are more than 9,700 registered republicans, which could mean the ratio is somewhere around 4-1 to 5-1.
*UPDATE* Ratio is 3.3 Dem to 1 Rep

District 46
Assemblywoman Adele Cohen
Brighton, Coney Island, Sea Gate, Gravesend, Shore Pkwy to Dyker Beach, Dyker Heights and Fort Hamilton. The registered voter ratio is 3.2 Democrats to 1 Republican. An active and well organized campaign could bring a victory.

District 47
Assemblyman William Colton
Gravesend, Bensonhurst (east) to Washington Cemetery. The registered voter ratio is 3 Democrats to 1 Republican. These numbers show that many of the southern townships of Brooklyn are competitive and winnable. Republicans need to start running real, legitimate candidates, instead of token candidates on the ballot.

District 48
Assemblyman Dov Hikind
Dyker Heights, Borough Park into Midwood, this gerrymandered district is slightly better than 3.4 Democrats to 1 Republican. Definitely a competitive district for a Republican.

District 49
Assemblyman Peter J. Abbate, Jr.
Bath Beach, Bensonhurst, up to Borough Park (south). The registered voter ratio is 2.3 Democrats to 1 Republican. The odds are similar to District 26 in Queens, which I know had a republican assemblyman in the past. I’m not sure if the 49 AD has, but with these odds, it can start.

District 59
OPEN
Canarsie, Flatlands, Georgetown, Bergen Beach, Mill Basin and Marine Park. The registered voter ratio is 4 Democrats to 1 Republican. There will be a Special Election in February for this district, so Republicans need to jump on the opportunity here. The Dirksen Republican Club is the 59 AD Club. I’ve been told the Democrats in these neighborhoods do cross party lines and tend to have traditional family values. If you can convince them to vote using their conservative ideals, you could pull off an upset.

District 60
Assemblyman Matthew Minores (Republican)
Bay Ridge, Shore Road over the Verz. Bridge to Staten Island. I previously gave the 60 AD a 1.2-1 ratio, but I realized that was a bit low. The voters in Brooklyn have a 1.8 Democrat to 1 Republican, so that would average out to more of a 1.5 Dem to 1 Rep. Assemblyman Mirones does a fine job and if you live in the area, volunteering for his reelection campaign can give you experience for running in the future.

I’ve said this before, if you liven in a district that has a 8-1 voter ratio or a 5-1 voter ratio, even an 11-1 ratio, that should deter you from running. Every district needs party activity and the only way to build registration is to be active and let the communities know the republican party cares. The 43 AD is said to have only 2,975 registered Republicans out of potential 100,000 voters for a district. By starting a Republican Club, getting republicans organized and elected to their county committee seats, great things can happen. Even if no candidate wins local or state office, if you successfully increase your voter registration to 3,975 in four years, you have done your job.

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