Monday, January 02, 2006

Wanted: Republican Candidates in RICHMOND Assembly Districts - Vol. 2

This is my second post for candidates and leaders of our boroughs to focus on Assembly Districts that have potential for Republican victory. Because the odds are against the GOP, it is important to review the statistical analysis and find out what resonates with voters in a given district.

Staten Island
Richmond County Committee website has a contact page of the leaders for the 4 Assembly Districts that cover the borough of Staten Island. Two districts have the only two elected Republicans to the Assembly in all of the five boroughs. The other two have very good odds for the GOP and it would be a major coup to take over the entire island.

District 60.
Assemblyman Matthew Mirones (Republican)
Oakwood, Midland Beach, Arrochar, Rosebank and Bay Ridge (Brooklyn) make up the district, which has a ratio of 1.2 Democrats to 1 Republican. The Assemblyman is a Republican, so it will be important to volunteer for Mr. Mirones campaign to ensure reelection.

District 61.
Assemblyman John W. Lavelle
Old Place, Port Richmond, Westerleigh, Castle Corners, West New Brighton, New Brighton, Livingston, Tompkinsville and Stapleton make up the district. The voter ratio comes out to 2.7 Democrats to 1 Republican. Of the four districts, this one has the worst odds for Republicans, however it is considerably much better than what we see in the other four boroughs and definitely not unwinnable.

District 62.
Assemblyman Vincent Ignizio (Republican)
Tottenville, Charleston, Princes Bay, Rossville, Woodrow, Huguenot, Annadale, Eltingville, Greatkills, Richmond, Egebertville, Dongan Hills, and New Dorp. This district is already being held by a Republican and the voter ratio comes out to 1.3 Democrat to 1 Republican. Clearly, the two districts in Staten Island with the closest 1 to 1 odds have Republican Assemblyman. We need to assure they continue to hold these areas.

District 63.
Assemblyman Michael Cusick
Travis, New Springville, Bloomfield, Bull's Head, Richmondtown, Howland Hook, Port Ivory, Emerson Hills, Grasmere and Sunnyside. The district has a ratio of 1.6 Democrat to 1 Republican. Certainly very competitive odds for any Republican willing run a strong campaign.

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